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§2 The Goods Market

  1. The Composition of AD (GDP)
  2. The Demand for Goods
  3. The Consumption Function
  4. The Determination of Equilibrium Output
  5. The Paradox of Saving

The Composition of AD (GDP)

  • Consumption, CC: goods and services purchased by consumers.
  • Investment, II: the sum of nonresidential and residential investment (goods and services...).
  • Government spending, GG: purchases of goods and services by the federal, state, and local governments, excluding government transfers.
  • Exports, XX: purchases of U.S. goods and services by foreigners.
  • Imports, IMIM: purchases of foreign goods and services by U.S. consumers, U.S. firms, and the U.S. government.
  • Inventory investment: difference between production and sales.

The Demand for Goods

  • Aggregate demand is:

    ZC+I+G+XIMZ \equiv C+I+G+X-IM

  • In closed economy:

    ZC+I+GZ \equiv C+I+G

  • Behavioral assumptions:

    • Exogenous:

      I=IˉI=\bar I

      G,TG,T

      • Note: GG and TT describe fiscal policy.
    • Endogenous:

      C=C(YD)C=C(Y_D)

The Consumption Function

  • Let’s assume that the consumption function is a linear function:

    C=c0+c1YDC=c_0+c_1Y_D

  • The parameter c1c_1 is the marginal propensity to consume; i.e. how much additional consumption is generated by an additional dollar of disposable income.

  • The parameter c0c_0 is autonomous consumption and captures many unmodeled factors (e.g. wealth).

  • Disposable income:

    YDYTY_D\equiv Y-T

  • To imply:

    C=c0+c1(YT)C=c_0+c_1(Y-T)

The Determination of Equilibrium Output

  • Recall that aggregate demand (in closed economy) is:

    Z=C+I+GZ=C+I+G

  • Replacing our functional forms, we have

    Z=c0+c1(YT)+Iˉ+GZ=c_0+c_1(Y-T)+\bar I+G

  • Equilibrium in the goods markets requires:

    Y=ZY=Z

    Important: this is an equilibrium condition (not a function)

  • Let’s now find what is the equilibrium level of output (GDP)

    Y=Z=c0+c1(YT)+Iˉ+G\begin{aligned}Y &= Z \\ &= c_0 + c_1(Y - T) + \bar{I} + G \end{aligned}

  • Solving for output, YY, yields:

    Y=11c1[c0c1T+Iˉ+G]Y = \frac{1}{1 - c_1} \left[ c_0 - c_1 T + \bar{I} + G \right]

  • The term 1/(1c1)1/(1 - c_1) is known as the multiplier.

  • There is an alternative way to find equilibrium output: it’s the output such that investment is equal to saving (John Maynard Keynes).

  • Private and public saving:

    SYDC=YTCS \equiv Y_D - C = Y - T - C

    SGTGS^G \equiv T - G

  • In equilibrium:

    I=S+SG=YTC+TG=YCG\begin{aligned} I &= S + S^G \\ &= Y - T - C + T - G \\ &= Y - C - G \end{aligned}

    this is known as the IS relation, and it implies

    Y=C+I+GY = C + I + G

The Paradox of Saving

  • We are told of the virtues of thrift as we grow up, but not so for macroeconomics in the short run

    Iˉ=S(Y)+SˉG\bar{I} = S(Y) + \bar{S}^G

  • If S(Y)S(Y) shifts up, then YY must decline to restore equilibrium...

— Apr 10, 2025

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